⛳ Tournament: European Masters (Aug 28–31, 2025) — Crans-sur-Sierre GC, Crans-Montana, Switzerland
Full AI breakdown of the leading 10 contenders, plus our Top 3 Picks and a Wild Card outsider.
AI Top 3 Picks
🥇
Matt Fitzpatrick
Odds: 8/1
Win Prob: 11.1%
Cut Rate: 93%
SG: Ball-Striking +0.9
Course horse with elite wedges; dual past wins at Crans.
🥈
Alex Noren
Odds: 11/1
Win Prob: 8.3%
Cut Rate: 92%
SG: Tee-to-Green +0.8
Two-time champion; trending and reliable on firm, fast greens.
🥉
Aaron Rai
Odds: 14/1
Win Prob: 6.7%
Cut Rate: 90%
SG: Approach +0.7
Fairway finder with sharp irons; perfect positional fit.
Wild Card Selection
Alex Fitzpatrick
Odds: 45/1
Win Prob: 2.2%
Cut Rate: 83%
SG: Off the Tee +0.3
Outside chance at a price; proven comfort and upside at Crans.
Bet Types & Accumulator Notes
• Win Singles: Back each of the Top 3 individually.
• Each-Way Acca: Combine Top 3 Picks at 1/5 odds place returns.
• Wild Card: Small-stake each-way at long odds.
• Risk Strategy: Conservative = Top 3 only; Aggressive = mix Wild Card into doubles/trebles.
📊 Reminder: Golf outrights are high variance; patience is key.
• Win Singles: Back each of the Top 3 individually.
• Each-Way Acca: Combine Top 3 Picks at 1/5 odds place returns.
• Wild Card: Small-stake each-way at long odds.
• Risk Strategy: Conservative = Top 3 only; Aggressive = mix Wild Card into doubles/trebles.
📊 Reminder: Golf outrights are high variance; patience is key.
Top 10 Contenders
#Matt Fitzpatrick
Odds: 8/1
Win Prob: 11.1%
Cut Rate: 93%
SG: Approach +0.6
Two-time winner at Crans; wedge control and putting ceiling.
#Alex Noren
Odds: 11/1
Win Prob: 8.3%
Cut Rate: 92%
SG: Total +1.0
Two-time Crans champion; trending and venue specialist.
#Aaron Rai
Odds: 14/1
Win Prob: 6.7%
Cut Rate: 90%
SG: T2G +1.2
Elite irons + accuracy; perfect for positional Crans layout.
#Rasmus Højgaard
Odds: 18/1
Win Prob: 5.3%
Cut Rate: 88%
SG: APP +0.5
High-ceiling ball-striker; altitude can boost scoring.
#Nicolai Højgaard
Odds: 18/1
Win Prob: 5.3%
Cut Rate: 86%
SG: OTT +0.4
Aggressive scoring when irons click; comp-course winner.
#Marco Penge
Odds: 18/1
Win Prob: 5.3%
Cut Rate: 85%
SG: Putting +0.5
Form player with a hot putter; altitude could amplify wedges.
#Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
Odds: 20/1
Win Prob: 4.8%
Cut Rate: 84%
SG: APP +0.4
Solid approach trend; poised for another step forward.
#Wyndham Clark
Odds: 25/1
Win Prob: 3.8%
Cut Rate: 88%
SG: OTT +0.7
Major winner’s power tamed by wedges; if putter pops, live.
#Jordan Smith
Odds: 25/1
Win Prob: 3.8%
Cut Rate: 90%
SG: APP +0.6
Elite fairways & irons profile; consistent Top-20 threat.
#Matt Wallace
Odds: 25/1
Win Prob: 3.8%
Cut Rate: 86%
SG: BS +0.5
Competitive iron play; thrives on target golf when hot.