1 — Top 20 Composite Rankings
Based on the latest data, the top 20 players in the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge field, considering their Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR), recent performance metrics, and consensus betting odds, are:
- Scottie Scheffler
- Jordan Spieth
- Hideki Matsuyama
- Tommy Fleetwood
- Daniel Berger
- Maverick McNealy
- Robert MacIntyre
- J.T. Poston
- Si Woo Kim
- Harris English
- Davis Thompson
- Aaron Rai
- Keith Mitchell
- J.J. Spaun
- Michael Kim
- Davis Riley
- Brian Harman
- Ben Griffin
- Andrew Novak
- Harry Hall
Note: SG T2G, SG APP, and SG PUTT represent strokes gained metrics for Tee-to-Green, Approach, and Putting, respectively.
2 — Five Primary Contenders
Scottie Scheffler – OWGR #1 – Odds 5/2
Key recent results: Winner at PGA Championship and CJ Cup Byron Nelson; T2 at RBC Heritage.
Course/comp history: Runner-up at 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge; consistent top finishes at Colonial.
SG profile: Leads PGA Tour in SG: Tee-to-Green (2.6) and SG: Approach (1.8).
Why they can contend: Scheffler’s dominant ball-striking and recent victories position him as the clear favorite.
Jordan Spieth – OWGR #8 – Odds 22/1
Key recent results: T12 at PGA Championship; T4 at RBC Heritage.
Course/comp history: Winner at 2016 Charles Schwab Challenge; multiple top-5 finishes at Colonial.
SG profile: Strong in SG: Putting (1.1) and SG: Tee-to-Green (1.2).
Why they can contend: Spieth’s familiarity and success at Colonial make him a strong contender.
Hideki Matsuyama – OWGR #10 – Odds 25/1
Key recent results: T15 at PGA Championship; T10 at The Masters.
Course/comp history: Consistent performer at similar courses; top-10 finish at 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge.
SG profile: Excels in SG: Approach (1.3) and SG: Tee-to-Green (1.5).
Why they can contend: Matsuyama’s precise iron play suits Colonial’s demands.
Tommy Fleetwood – OWGR #12 – Odds 25/1
Key recent results: T18 at PGA Championship; T8 at RBC Heritage.
Course/comp history: First appearance at Colonial; strong performances at comparable courses.
SG profile: Balanced across SG metrics; notable SG: Approach (1.0).
Why they can contend: Fleetwood’s consistent form and adaptability make him a viable contender.
Daniel Berger – OWGR #15 – Odds 25/1
Key recent results: T20 at PGA Championship; T5 at Wells Fargo Championship.
Course/comp history: Winner of the 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge.
SG profile: Strong in SG: Putting (0.7) and SG: Tee-to-Green (1.1).
Why they can contend: Berger’s past success at Colonial and current form suggest a strong showing.
3 — High-Value Outsider
Maverick McNealy – OWGR #11 – Odds 30/1
Key recent results: T10 at PGA Championship; T3 at Valero Texas Open.
Course/comp history: T8 at 2024 Charles Schwab Challenge; strong finishes at similar venues.
SG profile: Notable in SG: Putting (0.9) and SG: Tee-to-Green (1.4).
Why they can contend: McNealy’s upward trajectory and proficiency on Bentgrass greens position him as a valuable outsider.
4 — Strategic Summary
Best value among the favourites: Jordan Spieth at 22/1 offers substantial value given his exceptional record at Colonial and recent form.
Highest-risk / highest-reward outsider: Maverick McNealy at 30/1 presents a compelling case as a rising talent with proven capability on similar courses.
Notable each-way or H2H matchup opportunities: Consider backing Daniel Berger in head-to-head matchups, leveraging his past victory and consistent performance at Colonial.