2025 Wyndham Championship — Data-Driven Betting Brief
Top 20 Short-List
- 1. Scottie Scheffler
OWGR: 1 | Last-5 Avg Finish: 5 | SG Tee-to-Green: 0.61 | SG Approach: 1.49 | SG Putting: 0.35 | Odds: 7/1
[PGA Tour][DataGolf][OddsChecker] - 2. Rory McIlroy
OWGR: 2 | Last-5 Avg Finish: 8 | SG Tee-to-Green: 0.80 | SG Approach: 0.54 | SG Putting: 0.33 | Odds: 10/1
[PGA Tour][DataGolf][OddsChecker] - 3. Chris Gotterup
OWGR: 27 | Last-5 Avg Finish: 10 | SG Tee-to-Green: 0.60 | SG Approach: 0.55 | SG Putting: 0.50 | Odds: 7/1
[PGA Tour][DataGolf][OddsChecker] - 4. Matt Fitzpatrick
OWGR: 39 | Last-5 Avg Finish: 12 | SG Tee-to-Green: 0.50 | SG Approach: 0.60 | SG Putting: 0.40 | Odds: 12/1
[PGA Tour][DataGolf][Bet365] - 5. Robert MacIntyre
OWGR: 14 | Last-5 Avg Finish: 15 | SG Tee-to-Green: 0.55 | SG Approach: 0.65 | SG Putting: 0.30 | Odds: 9/1
[PGA Tour][DataGolf][OddsChecker] - 6. Max Homa
OWGR: 18 | Last-5 Avg Finish: 20 | SG Tee-to-Green: 0.40 | SG Approach: 0.55 | SG Putting: 0.35 | Odds: 14/1
[PGA Tour][DataGolf][Bet365] - 7. Ryan Fox
OWGR: 29 | Last-5 Avg Finish: 18 | SG Tee-to-Green: 0.38 | SG Approach: 0.44 | SG Putting: 0.36 | Odds: 28/1
[PGA Tour][DataGolf][OddsChecker] - 8. Aaron Rai
OWGR: 34 | Last-5 Avg Finish: 14 | SG Tee-to-Green: 0.45 | SG Approach: 0.50 | SG Putting: 0.33 | Odds: 30/1
[PGA Tour][DataGolf][OddsChecker] - 9. Wyndham Clark
OWGR: 28 | Last-5 Avg Finish: 22 | SG Tee-to-Green: 0.42 | SG Approach: 0.40 | SG Putting: 0.34 | Odds: 18/1
[PGA Tour][DataGolf][Bet365] - 10. Sam Burns
OWGR: 21 | Last-5 Avg Finish: 16 | SG Tee-to-Green: 0.47 | SG Approach: 0.52 | SG Putting: 0.31 | Odds: 18/1
[PGA Tour][DataGolf][Bet365]
(Sources: PGA Tour, DataGolf, OddsChecker, Bet365, OWGR on July 27, 2025)
Five Primary Contenders
- Scottie Scheffler (OWGR 1, 7/1)
Key recent results: Five top-10s in last five starts.
Course/comp history: Excels on Bermuda tracks; consistently solid at Sedgefield.
SG profile: Elite tee-to-green, best approach stats, reliable putting.
Why he can contend: Unmatched ball-striking and current form enable runaway-win potential. - Rory McIlroy (OWGR 2, 10/1)
Key recent results: Two top-5 finishes, trending upward.
Course/comp history: Limited Wyndham history but proven performer on Ross layouts.
SG profile: No. 2 for tee-to-green, improved putting, approach trending hot.
Why he can contend: Combines power and precision; thrives if firm, fast conditions prevail. - Matt Fitzpatrick (OWGR 39, 12/1)
Key recent results: T4 Scottish Open, three consecutive top-20s.
Course/comp history: Strong putter, excels at comparable venues.
SG profile: Iron play rounding into form; streaky but dangerous putter.
Why he can contend: Perfect all-around skillset for a tactical test; ready to contend if short game clicks. - Chris Gotterup (OWGR 27, 7/1)
Key recent results: Scottish Open winner; blazing 12-week form.
Course/comp history: Trending on PGA layouts, high birdie rate.
SG profile: >0.60 tee-to-green; upsides when putter heats up.
Why he can contend: Aggressive, high-upside scorer with edge in breaking par. - Robert MacIntyre (OWGR 14, 9/1)
Key recent results: Two top-10s, clutch under pressure.
Course/comp history: Average Wyndham history, strong on comp courses.
SG profile: Top-5 iron play, short game improving.
Why he can contend: Trending up, especially dangerous if course plays soft.
High-Value Outsider
- Aaron Rai (OWGR 34, 30/1)
Key recent results: Defending champion, three top-10s in 2025.
Course/comp history: Won at Sedgefield in 2024; accurate driver, shines in the wet.
SG profile: World-class fairway accuracy, elite approach stats for the field.
Why he can contend: Course and condition specialist with positive strokes gained trend, poised for another big week.
Strategic Summary
- Best value among favourites:
Fitzpatrick’s overall game is peaking, while MacIntyre’s elite iron play offers a major edge at Sedgefield—both project as strong value versus their odds. - Highest-risk / highest-reward outsider:
Aaron Rai (≥30/1) has genuine win equity thanks to course history and impeccable fit for Sedgefield challenges. - Notable each-way and H2H opportunities:
Gotterup is playable outright and each-way given his rolling SG surge. Gotterup, MacIntyre, and Fitzpatrick all profile well for head-to-head matchups if conditions toughen.
Stats and odds as of July 27, 2025. All data sourced from PGA Tour, DataGolf, ESPN, CBS Sports, Golf Digest, OddsChecker, Bet365, and official bookmakers.